Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vance Alm a 53% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. H. D. "Chip" Evans won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Vance Alm — 53% model odds
- Rick Shephard — 28% model odds
- H. D. "Chip" Evans — 19% model odds (won)