Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Fred Horne a 59% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Mary Perry won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Fred Horne — 59% model odds
- Mary Perry — 10% model odds (won)
- Stephanie Carlisle — 8% model odds
- Jeff Miller — 8% model odds
- Gary "Coach" Johnston — 8% model odds
- Louis "Blulaker" Baker — 8% model odds