New Mexico House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael H. Romero a 96% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2016 primary. Michael H. Romero won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael H. Romero — 96% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Glenn Lucero — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts