New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bonnie Watson Coleman an 88% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Bonnie Watson Coleman won, matching the model's top pick.
- Bonnie Watson Coleman — 88% model odds (won)
- Alexander J. Kucsma — 6% model odds
- Robert Shapiro — 6% model odds