New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rodney P. Frelinghuysen an 84% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Rodney P. Frelinghuysen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Rodney P. Frelinghuysen — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Rick Van Glahn — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts