New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brent Sonnek-Schmelz an 84% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Brent Sonnek-Schmelz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brent Sonnek-Schmelz — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Rajit B. Malliah — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts