New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frederick John Lavergne an 82% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Frederick John Lavergne won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Frederick John Lavergne — 82% model odds (won)
2. Jim Keady — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts