New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank A. Lobiondo an 85% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Frank A. Lobiondo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank A. Lobiondo — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Steven Fenichel — 7% model odds
  3. Gabriel Brian Franco — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts