New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David H. Cole an 88% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. David H. Cole won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David H. Cole — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Costantino "Tino" Rozzo — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts