New Jersey House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald W. Norcross a 91% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2016 primary. Donald W. Norcross won, matching the model's top pick.
- Donald W. Norcross — 91% model odds (won)
- Alex Law — 6% model odds
- Scot John Tomaszewski — 3% model odds