New Hampshire Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kelly Ayotte an 80% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2016 primary. Kelly Ayotte won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kelly Ayotte — 80% model odds (won)
2. Tom Alciere — 4% model odds
3. Gerard Beloin — 4% model odds
4. Stanley Michael Emanuel — 4% model odds
5. Maggie Hassan — 4% model odds
6. Scattered — 4% model odds
7. Jim Rubens — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts