New Hampshire Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kelly Ayotte an 81% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2016 primary. Maggie Hassan won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Kelly Ayotte — 81% model odds
- Maggie Hassan — 3% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 3% model odds
- Gerard Beloin — 3% model odds
- Tom Alciere — 3% model odds
- Stanley Michael Emanuel — 3% model odds
- Jim Rubens — 3% model odds