New Hampshire House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank Guinta a 48% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2016 primary. Frank Guinta won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Frank Guinta — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Carol Shea-Porter — 37% model odds
  3. Michael Callis — 3% model odds
  4. Robert Risley — 3% model odds
  5. Scattered — 3% model odds
  6. Rich Ashooh — 2% model odds
  7. Jamieson Hale Gradert — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts