North Carolina Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richard Burr an 84% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2016 primary. Richard Burr won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Richard Burr — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Brannon — 7% model odds
  3. Paul Wright — 7% model odds
  4. Larry Holmquist — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts