North Carolina Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Deborah K. Ross a 90% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2016 primary. Deborah K. Ross won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Deborah K. Ross — 90% model odds (won)
2. Ernest T. Reeves — 4% model odds
3. Kevin D. Griffin — 3% model odds
4. Chris Rey — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts