North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave David W. Thompson an 8% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Ted Budd won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- David W. Thompson — 8% model odds
- Kay Daly — 7% model odds
- Andrew C. Brock — 6% model odds
- Ted Budd — 6% model odds (won)
- Hank Henning — 6% model odds
- Matthew J. Mccall — 6% model odds
- Dan Barrett — 6% model odds
- Harry Warren — 6% model odds