North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bruce Davis a 77% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Bruce Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bruce Davis — 77% model odds (won)
  2. Mazie Ferguson — 8% model odds
  3. Bob Isner — 5% model odds
  4. Adam Coker — 5% model odds
  5. Kevin D. Griffin — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts