North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Leon Threatt an 85% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Leon Threatt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Leon Threatt — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Wright — 11% model odds
  3. Ryan Duffie — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts