North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alma Adams an 80% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Alma Adams won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Alma Adams — 80% model odds (won)
2. Rodney W. Moore — 4% model odds
3. Rick Miller — 4% model odds
4. Malcolm Graham — 3% model odds
5. Tricia Cotham — 3% model odds
6. Carla D. Cunningham — 3% model odds
7. Gardenia Henley — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts