North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry a 71% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.
- Patrick Mchenry — 71% model odds (won)
- Jeff Gregory — 18% model odds
- Jeffrey Baker — 6% model odds
- Albert Lee, Jr. Wiley — 6% model odds