North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Pittenger a 92% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Robert Pittenger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Pittenger — 92% model odds (won)
  2. Todd Johnson — 4% model odds
  3. Mark Harris — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts