North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Walter B. Jones a 66% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. Walter B. Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Walter B. Jones — 66% model odds (won)
2. Phil Law — 25% model odds
3. Taylor Griffin — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts