North Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John P. Mcneil a 79% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2016 primary. John P. Mcneil won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John P. Mcneil — 79% model odds (won)
2. Jane Watson — 5% model odds
3. Steven E. Hight — 5% model odds
4. Ron Sanyal — 5% model odds
5. Elton R. Brewington — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts