Mississippi House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trent Kelly an 81% chance of winning the Mississippi House 2016 primary. Trent Kelly won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trent Kelly — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Clever — 9% model odds
  3. Cathy L. Toole — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts