Missouri Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Roy Blunt an 85% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2016 primary. Roy Blunt won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Roy Blunt — 85% model odds (won)
2. Jonathan Mcfarland — 5% model odds
3. Kristi Nichols — 4% model odds
4. Bernie Mowinski — 3% model odds
5. Ryan D. Luethy — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts