Missouri Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Kander a 76% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2016 primary. Jason Kander won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Kander — 76% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Mack — 16% model odds
  3. Chief Wana Dubie — 5% model odds
  4. Cori Bush — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts