Missouri House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Smith an 87% chance of winning the Missouri House 2016 primary. Jason Smith won, matching the model's top pick.
- Jason Smith — 87% model odds (won)
- Phillip S. Smith — 7% model odds
- Hal Brown — 3% model odds
- Todd Mahn — 3% model odds