Missouri House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Billy Long a 75% chance of winning the Missouri House 2016 primary. Billy Long won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Billy Long — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Matt Canovi — 4% model odds
  3. Matthew Evans — 4% model odds
  4. Christopher Batsche — 4% model odds
  5. James Nelson — 4% model odds
  6. Nathan Clay Bradham — 4% model odds
  7. Mary Byrne — 2% model odds
  8. Lyndle Spencer — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts