Missouri House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jacob Turk an 81% chance of winning the Missouri House 2016 primary. Jacob Turk won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jacob Turk — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Michael Burris — 8% model odds
  3. Berton A. Knox — 8% model odds
  4. Austin Rucker — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts