Missouri House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lacy Clay a 93% chance of winning the Missouri House 2016 primary. Lacy Clay won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lacy Clay — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Maria N. Chappelle-Nadal — 4% model odds
  3. (William) Bill Haas — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts