Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Judy Evelyn Adams a 62% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. David Snyder won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Judy Evelyn Adams — 62% model odds
2. David Snyder — 19% model odds (won)
3. Bob Helland — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts