Minnesota House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jason Lewis a 66% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2016 primary. Jason Lewis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jason Lewis — 66% model odds (won)
  2. John Howe — 25% model odds
  3. Darlene Miller — 5% model odds
  4. Matthew D. Erickson — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts