Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brenda L. Lawrence an 89% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Brenda L. Lawrence won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Brenda L. Lawrence — 89% model odds (won)
2. Vanessa Moss — 8% model odds
3. Terrance Morrison — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts