Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Mitchell a 79% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Paul Mitchell won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Paul Mitchell — 79% model odds (won)
2. Benjamin Nofs — 10% model odds
3. Phillip Pavlov — 3% model odds
4. David J. Vanassche — 3% model odds
5. Tony Forlini — 3% model odds
6. Alan Sanborn — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts