Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Suzanna # Shkreli a 51% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. Melissa # Gilbert won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Suzanna # Shkreli — 51% model odds
  2. Melissa # Gilbert — 49% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts