Michigan House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Moolenaar an 80% chance of winning the Michigan House 2016 primary. John Moolenaar won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John Moolenaar — 80% model odds (won)
2. Jordan Salvi — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts