Maine House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Emily Ann Cain an 85% chance of winning the Maine House 2016 primary. Emily Ann Cain won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Emily Ann Cain — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Jay Parker Dresser — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts