Maryland Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathy Szeliga a 59% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2016 primary. Kathy Szeliga won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kathy Szeliga — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Dave Wallace — 4% model odds
  3. Chris Chaffee — 3% model odds
  4. Sean P. Connor — 3% model odds
  5. Lynn Richardson — 3% model odds
  6. John R. Graziani — 3% model odds
  7. Greg Holmes — 3% model odds
  8. Mark Mcnicholas — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts