Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Cox a 45% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Dan Cox won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Cox — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Jeffrey W. Jones — 23% model odds
  3. Liz Matory — 10% model odds
  4. Aryeh Shudofsky — 10% model odds
  5. Nancy Wallace — 7% model odds
  6. Shelly Skolnick — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts