Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Trone a 74% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Jamie Raskin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- David Trone — 74% model odds
- Kathleen Matthews — 5% model odds
- Jamie Raskin — 4% model odds (won)
- Ana Sol Gutierrez — 4% model odds
- Kumar P. Barve — 3% model odds
- William Jawando — 3% model odds
- David M. Anderson — 3% model odds
- Joel Rubin — 3% model odds