Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amie Hoeber a 75% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Amie Hoeber won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Amie Hoeber — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Christopher James Mason — 4% model odds
  3. Scott Cheng — 4% model odds
  4. George Gluck — 4% model odds
  5. Frank Howard — 3% model odds
  6. Robin Ficker — 3% model odds
  7. David E., Iii Vogt — 3% model odds
  8. Terry L. Baker — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts