Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steny H. Hoyer a 74% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Steny H. Hoyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steny H. Hoyer — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Kristin Beck — 20% model odds
  3. Debbie F. Wilson — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts