Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave George E. Mcdermott a 41% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. George E. Mcdermott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. George E. Mcdermott — 41% model odds (won)
  2. David Therrien — 15% model odds
  3. Robert "Bro" Broadus — 15% model odds
  4. Rob Buck — 15% model odds
  5. Kamesha T. Clark — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts