Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anthony G. Brown a 71% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Anthony G. Brown won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Anthony G. Brown — 71% model odds (won)
2. Glenn F. Ivey — 9% model odds
3. Joseline Peña-Melnyk — 8% model odds
4. Matthew Fogg — 5% model odds
5. Warren Christopher — 3% model odds
6. Terence Strait — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts