Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Plaster an 81% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Mark Plaster won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark Plaster — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas E. "Pinkston" Harris — 9% model odds
  3. Nnabu Eze — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts