Maryland House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael D., Sr. Smigiel a 64% chance of winning the Maryland House 2016 primary. Andy Harris won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Michael D., Sr. Smigiel — 64% model odds
- Andy Harris — 25% model odds (won)
- Jonathan Marvin, Jr. Goff — 7% model odds
- Sean M. Jackson — 4% model odds