Massachusetts House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark C. Alliegro a 70% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2016 primary. Mark C. Alliegro won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark C. Alliegro — 70% model odds (won)
2. All Others — 27% model odds
3. Thomas Joseph, Jr. O'Malley — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts