Kentucky House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nancy Jo Kemper a 97% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2016 primary. Nancy Jo Kemper won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nancy Jo Kemper — 97% model odds (won)
  2. Geoffrey M. "Geoff" Young — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts