Kansas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel B. Giroux an 88% chance of winning the Kansas House 2016 primary. Daniel B. Giroux won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Daniel B. Giroux — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Robert Leon Tillman — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts