Indiana House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Trey Hollingsworth an 86% chance of winning the Indiana House 2016 primary. Trey Hollingsworth won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Trey Hollingsworth — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Zoeller — 5% model odds
  3. Erin Houchin — 3% model odds
  4. Brent Waltz — 3% model odds
  5. Robert Hall — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts